South Africa vs Australia: South Africa wins

No99%
South Africa1%

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24h volume$259.4K
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ResolvesOct 14, 202611 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 7Oct 8Oct 10Oct 12Oct 13

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If South Africa wins the South Africa vs Australia men's professional Test series cricket match originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026 at 3:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a draw or tie, the market titled "Draw/Tie" will resolve Yes. If the match is cancelled prior to scheduled commencement, or is abandoned prior to the toss (i.e. the toss does not occur) and no official result is declared by the governing body, then all markets will resolve to a fair market price. If the match is delayed for more than 5 days from its original scheduled start time before commencement, then all markets will resolve to a fair market price. If the match is abandoned after the toss has occurred, markets will resolve based on the official result recorded by the governing body of the relevant competition. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket resolves at Oct 16 2026 using official statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours post-match; Kalshi resolves at Oct 14 2026 and uses official governing body result only. Kalshi invokes "fair market price" for cancellation before toss or delay >5 days, while Polymarket resolves such events to draw. These settlement procedure differences do not alter the underlying question.
  • Will South Africa win?

    This market refers to the cricket match between South Africa and Australia scheduled for October 9 2026 at 3:30 AM ET in Test Match. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve to draw. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market will resolve to draw. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

  • Kalshithis market

    South Africa vs Australia: South Africa wins

    If South Africa wins the South Africa vs Australia men's professional Test series cricket match originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026 at 3:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a draw or tie, the market titled "Draw/Tie" will resolve Yes. If the match is cancelled prior to scheduled commencement, or is abandoned prior to the toss (i.e. the toss does not occur) and no official result is declared by the governing body, then all markets will resolve to a fair market price. If the match is delayed for more than 5 days from its original scheduled start time before commencement, then all markets will resolve to a fair market price. If the match is abandoned after the toss has occurred, markets will resolve based on the official result recorded by the governing body of the relevant competition. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 13, 04:42 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
South Africa vs Australia: Australia winsKalshi99% AustraliaOpen
South Africa vs Australia: Draw/Tie winsKalshi99% NoOpen

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As of Oct 25, 10:50 AM UTC