KalshiResolved

Will the S&P 500 be above 7864.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,865 or above

No—
7,865 or above—

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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ResolvesOct 7, 202618 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 6, 07:16 PMOct 6, 10:11 PMOct 7, 01:05 AMOct 7, 04:00 AM

No recorded data before Oct 6 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the S&P 500 index value on Oct 7, 2026 at 11am EDT is above 7864.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on October 07, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after October 07, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the S&P 500 be above 7769.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,770 or aboveKalshi95% 7,770 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7774.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,775 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7784.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,785 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7764.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,765 or aboveKalshi99% 7,765 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7759.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,760 or aboveKalshi99% 7,760 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7754.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,755 or aboveKalshi98% 7,755 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7779.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,780 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7789.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,790 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7749.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,750 or aboveKalshi99% 7,750 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7799.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,800 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7804.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,805 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7794.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,795 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7809.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,810 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7819.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,820 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7824.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,825 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7829.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,830 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7849.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,850 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7814.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,815 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7834.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,835 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7844.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,845 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7839.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,840 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7854.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,855 or aboveKalshi95% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7869.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,870 or aboveKalshi—Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7874.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,875 or aboveKalshi—Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7859.9999 on Oct 7, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,860 or aboveKalshi—Open

Venue activity

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As of Oct 25, 04:16 AM UTC