KalshiResolved

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.3 on Oct 7, 2026? 38.3%

No99%
38.3%1%

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24h volume$49.2K
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ResolvesOct 7, 202617 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 6, 06:51 PMOct 7, 02:14 AMOct 7, 09:36 AMOct 7, 04:59 PM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.3% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

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As of Oct 24, 07:57 PM UTC