Phoenix · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) 4+ consecutive days
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If there is at least 4 or more consecutive days within October 5, 2026 through October 11, 2026 on which the daily average temperature at KPHX in Phoenix is strictly greater than 90 degrees Fahrenheit, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved A day's average temperature is the arithmetic mean of the hourly temperature values reported by The Weather Company for KPHX from 12:00 AM to 11:59 PM local time, rounded to the nearest whole degree. Only days within October 5, 2026 through October 11, 2026 may count toward a streak. Data as published at the Expiration Time will be used; later revisions are disregarded. Doesn't count for payout An average of exactly 90 degrees Fahrenheit does not satisfy the condition. A day with fewer than 18 reported hourly values does not satisfy the condition and breaks a streak.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) 6+ consecutive days | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| Phoenix · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) 3+ consecutive days | Kalshi | 97% 3+ consecutive days | Open |
| Phoenix · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) 5+ consecutive days | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Oct 24, 05:53 PM UTC