KalshiResolved

Phoenix · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) 4+ consecutive days

No99%
4+ consecutive days1%

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24h volume$12
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ResolvesOct 13, 202612 days ago

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 6Oct 7Oct 9Oct 10Oct 12Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If there is at least 4 or more consecutive days within October 5, 2026 through October 11, 2026 on which the daily average temperature at KPHX in Phoenix is strictly greater than 90 degrees Fahrenheit, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved A day's average temperature is the arithmetic mean of the hourly temperature values reported by The Weather Company for KPHX from 12:00 AM to 11:59 PM local time, rounded to the nearest whole degree. Only days within October 5, 2026 through October 11, 2026 may count toward a streak. Data as published at the Expiration Time will be used; later revisions are disregarded. Doesn't count for payout An average of exactly 90 degrees Fahrenheit does not satisfy the condition. A day with fewer than 18 reported hourly values does not satisfy the condition and breaks a streak.

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As of Oct 24, 05:53 PM UTC