Spanish general election: People's Party vote percent: Will the People's Party receive at least 33% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?
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Resolution rules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by the People's Party in the 2026 Spanish general election is 33% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is the share of the vote received by the People's Party in the election to the Congress of Deputies. It is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places (2). Resolution uses the official results published by the Spanish Ministry of the Interior as proclaimed by the Junta Electoral Central, NOT the provisional count on election night Only the election to the Congress of Deputies counts. Votes cast in the Senate election held the same day do NOT count Invalid ballots are excluded from the denominator. Blank ballots are valid votes under Spanish electoral law and are included in the denominator, as in the official percentages Votes for the People's Party include votes for any coalition or regional list the Ministry of the Interior aggregates under the People's Party in its national results
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As of Oct 24, 02:04 PM UTC