KalshiResolved

Will the natural gas close price be above 3.145 USD/MMBtu on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.145

No98%
Above $3.1452%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume$22.5K
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ResolvesOct 6, 202618 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 6, 12:03 AMOct 6, 01:00 PMOct 7, 01:57 AMOct 7, 02:54 PM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for natural gas on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 3.145 USD/MMBtu, then the market resolves to Yes. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 3 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.110 USD/MMBtu on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.110Kalshi99% Above $3.110Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.115 USD/MMBtu on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.115Kalshi98% Above $3.115Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.120 USD/MMBtu on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.120Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.140 USD/MMBtu on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.140Kalshi98% NoOpen
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.105 USD/MMBtu on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.105Kalshi92% Above $3.105Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.135 USD/MMBtu on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.135Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.125 USD/MMBtu on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.125Kalshi95% NoOpen
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.130 USD/MMBtu on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.130Kalshi96% NoOpen
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.100 USD/MMBtu on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.100Kalshi96% Above $3.100Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.090 USD/MMBtu on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.090Kalshi99% Above $3.090Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.095 USD/MMBtu on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.095Kalshi96% Above $3.095Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.085 USD/MMBtu on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.085Kalshi94% Above $3.085Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.070 USD/MMBtu on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.070Kalshi96% Above $3.070Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.080 USD/MMBtu on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.080Kalshi93% Above $3.080Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.040 USD/MMBtu on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.040Kalshi94% Above $3.040Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.995 USD/MMBtu on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $2.995Kalshi99% Above $2.995Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.025 USD/MMBtu on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.025Kalshi94% Above $3.025Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.060 USD/MMBtu on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.060Kalshi91% Above $3.060Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.020 USD/MMBtu on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.020Kalshi96% Above $3.020Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.975 USD/MMBtu on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $2.975Kalshi99% Above $2.975Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.945 USD/MMBtu on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $2.945Kalshi99% Above $2.945Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3 USD/MMBtu on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3Kalshi99% Above $3Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.050 USD/MMBtu on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.050Kalshi94% Above $3.050Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.035 USD/MMBtu on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.035Kalshi99% Above $3.035Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.015 USD/MMBtu on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.015Kalshi95% Above $3.015Open

Venue activity

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Held value—
Trades (24h)—
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Open interest—
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As of Oct 24, 06:19 PM UTC