North Carolina vs Duke: spread: North Carolina (-17.5)

Duke100%
North Carolina0%

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ResolvesOct 17, 20268 days ago

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "North Carolina" if North Carolina win the game by 18 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Duke". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Sourcehttps://www.ncaa.com/

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. The venues differ on resolution mechanics: Polymarket uses NCAA.com and pays 50-50 if the game is canceled, Gemini cites league/ESPN/Fox/official broadcast sources with a review process for unresolved events, and Kalshi uses its own rules including a fair-price fallback if not started within 48 hours. These are material only to settlement, not to the market question.
  • Polymarketthis market

    North Carolina vs Duke: spread: North Carolina (-17.5)

    In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "North Carolina" if North Carolina win the game by 18 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Duke". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

  • North Carolina vs Duke: spread: North Carolina (-17.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of North Carolina in the entire college football game between North Carolina and Duke scheduled for 2026-10-17 at 3:00 p.m. CT is above 17.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (North Carolina's score minus Duke's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Spread_Class_941e2dcb-07e0-4ee4-9d21-bdd1a7612f13.pdf).

    read Oct 17, 11:18 PM UTC

  • North Carolina wins by over 17.5 points

    If North Carolina wins by more than 17.5 points in the North Carolina vs Duke college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 16, 07:05 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
North Carolina vs Duke: North Carolina winsPolymarket100% North CarolinaOpen
North Carolina vs Duke: spread: North Carolina (-8.5)Polymarket100% DukeOpen
North Carolina vs Duke: spread: North Carolina (-3.5)Polymarket100% North CarolinaOpen
North Carolina vs Duke: spread: North Carolina (-14.5)Polymarket100% DukeOpen
North Carolina vs Duke: total O/U 51.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
North Carolina vs Duke: spread: Duke (-17.5)Polymarket100% North CarolinaOpen
North Carolina vs. Duke: 2Q O/U 10.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
North Carolina vs Duke: spread: North Carolina (-6.5)Polymarket100% DukeOpen
North Carolina vs Duke: spread: Duke (-5.5)Polymarket100% North CarolinaOpen
North Carolina vs Duke: spread: North Carolina (-0.5)Polymarket100% North CarolinaOpen
North Carolina vs Duke: spread: Duke (-3.5)Polymarket100% North CarolinaOpen
North Carolina vs Duke: spread: Duke (-16.5)Polymarket100% North CarolinaOpen
North Carolina vs Duke: total O/U 37.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
North Carolina vs. Duke: 1Q O/U 13.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
North Carolina vs. Duke: Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4Polymarket100% YesOpen
Duke Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
North Carolina vs. Duke: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
North Carolina vs. Duke: Game Goes to OvertimePolymarket100% NoOpen
North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 14.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
North Carolina vs. Duke: Both Teams to Score Points - Q4Polymarket100% YesOpen
Duke Total Receptions: O/U 19.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
North Carolina Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
North Carolina vs. Duke: 1Q MoneylinePolymarket100% North CarolinaOpen

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As of Oct 25, 04:29 PM UTC