KalshiResolved

Google market share this week? Above 17.8%

No78%
Above 17.8%22%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume$11.1K
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ResolvesOct 19, 20265 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 5Oct 7Oct 9Oct 11Oct 13

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Google scores above 17.8% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Oct 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This event will resolve based on 10:00AM ET Monday updated market share values reported by OpenRouter, rounded to one decimal place, for the week of Oct 5, 2026. If the named model author’s market share is not separately identified in the source chart, including if it is included in “Others,” all markets in the event will resolve to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the governing benchmark. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Google market share this week? Above 19.3%Kalshi99% NoOpen
Google market share this week? Above 20.0%Kalshi99% NoOpen
Google market share this week? Above 20.6%Kalshi99% NoOpen
Google market share this week? Above 20.8%Kalshi99% NoOpen
Google market share this week? Above 20.4%Kalshi99% NoOpen
Google market share this week? Above 21.5%Kalshi99% NoOpen
Google market share this week? Above 22.4%Kalshi99% NoOpen
Google market share this week? Above 21.1%Kalshi99% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 02:20 PM UTC