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Brazil presidential runoff: will Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro debate?: Will Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro debate before the Brazil presidential runoff? Before Oct 25, 2026

Before Oct 25, 202699%
No1%

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24h volume$14.1K
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ResolvesOct 25, 2026in 10 hours

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 5Oct 9Oct 12Oct 16Oct 19

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro have a debate before Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. A debate counts only if both candidates are present at the same time, in person or via live connection; the event is announced as a debate or similar confrontational discussion format; the candidates respond to each other's positions through direct dialogue or moderated questions; and the event is intended for public viewing. Joint press conferences, sequential interviews or town halls where the candidates appear separately, panel discussions with more than two primary participants, and events where either candidate fails to appear or appears only by pre-recorded video do not count.

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As of Oct 25, 04:39 AM UTC