Illinois vs Michigan State: spread: Michigan State (-1.5)

Illinois (+1.5)100%
Michigan State (-1.5)0%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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ResolvesOct 11, 202614 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 7Oct 8Oct 9Oct 10Oct 11

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Michigan State in the entire college football game between Illinois and Michigan State scheduled for 2026-10-10 at 3:00 p.m. CT is above 1.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Michigan State's score minus Illinois's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Spread_Class_941e2dcb-07e0-4ee4-9d21-bdd1a7612f13.pdf).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Gemini resolves using the game score and listed sports sources, with a market-review process for an indeterminate result; Polymarket cites the governing body and specifies overtime and a two-week postponement rule. Their settlement times also differ, but these are resolution-rule differences rather than different questions.
  • Geminithis market

    Illinois vs Michigan State: spread: Michigan State (-1.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Michigan State in the entire college football game between Illinois and Michigan State scheduled for 2026-10-10 at 3:00 p.m. CT is above 1.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Michigan State's score minus Illinois's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Spread_Class_941e2dcb-07e0-4ee4-9d21-bdd1a7612f13.pdf).

    read Oct 10, 10:31 AM UTC

  • Will the Illinois cover 1.5 vs the Michigan State in Illinois vs. Michigan State?

    This market will settle to Yes if Illinois covers a +1.5 point spread in the Illinois vs Michigan State College Football game scheduled for Oct 10, 2026. Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

    read Oct 10, 06:03 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Illinois vs Michigan State: spread: Illinois (-6.5)Gemini100% Michigan State (+6.5)Open
Illinois vs Michigan State: spread: Illinois (-3.5)Gemini100% Michigan State (+3.5)Open
Illinois vs Michigan State: spread: Michigan State (-16.5)Gemini100% Illinois (+16.5)Open
Illinois vs Michigan State: spread: Illinois (-14.5)Gemini100% Michigan State (+14.5)Open
Illinois vs Michigan State: spread: Michigan State (-14.5)Gemini100% Illinois (+14.5)Open
Illinois vs Michigan State: spread: Michigan State (-4.5)Gemini100% Illinois (+4.5)Open
Illinois vs Michigan State: spread: Michigan State (-10.5)Gemini100% Illinois (+10.5)Open
Illinois vs Michigan State: spread: Illinois (-13.5)Gemini100% Michigan State (+13.5)Open
Illinois vs Michigan State: spread: Michigan State (-3.5)Gemini100% Illinois (+3.5)Open
Illinois vs Michigan State: spread: Michigan State (-2.5)Gemini100% Illinois (+2.5)Open
Illinois vs Michigan State: spread: Michigan State (-17.5)Gemini100% Illinois (+17.5)Open
Illinois vs Michigan State: spread: Michigan State (-13.5)Gemini100% Illinois (+13.5)Open
Illinois vs Michigan State: spread: Illinois (-10.5)Gemini100% Michigan State (+10.5)Open
Illinois vs Michigan State: spread: Illinois (-20.5)Gemini100% Michigan State (+20.5)Open
Illinois vs Michigan State: spread: Michigan State (-11.5)Gemini100% Illinois (+11.5)Open
Illinois vs Michigan State: spread: Illinois (-17.5)Gemini100% Michigan State (+17.5)Open
Illinois vs Michigan State: spread: Illinois (-9.5)Gemini100% Michigan State (+9.5)Open
Illinois vs Michigan State: spread: Illinois (-11.5)Gemini100% Michigan State (+11.5)Open
Illinois vs Michigan State: spread: Illinois (-5.5)Gemini100% Michigan State (+5.5)Open
Illinois vs Michigan State: spread: Illinois (-7.5)Gemini100% Michigan State (+7.5)Open
Illinois vs Michigan State: spread: Illinois (-16.5)Gemini100% Michigan State (+16.5)Open
Illinois vs Michigan State: spread: Illinois (-1.5)Gemini100% Michigan State (+1.5)Open
Illinois vs Michigan State: spread: Illinois (-2.5)Gemini100% Michigan State (+2.5)Open
Illinois vs Michigan State: spread: Illinois (-4.5)Gemini100% Michigan State (+4.5)Open
Illinois vs Michigan State: spread: Illinois (-23.5)Gemini100% Michigan State (+23.5)Open

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As of Oct 25, 08:24 PM UTC