PolymarketOpen

Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31?

No98%
Yes2%

Price checked at

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24h volume$13
7d volume$990
30d volume$8.5K
Liquidity$6.7K
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization officially declares a Public Health Emergency of International Concern covering plague, Yersinia pestis, pneumonic plague, or any plague outbreak between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a determination that constitutes a Public Health Emergency of International Concern under the International Health Regulations will qualify. Other designations will not be considered, including the convening of an Emergency Committee, a Disease Outbreak News publication, a grade assigned under the WHO Emergency Response Framework, and a characterization of the outbreak as a pandemic. A Public Health Emergency of International Concern already in effect at market creation does not qualify; the declaration must occur between market creation and the specified date. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by November 30?Polymarket98% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 08:43 PM UTC