Daniel Merida wins

No99%
Daniel Merida1%

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24h volume$917.1K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
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ResolvesOct 6, 202618 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 5Oct 6Oct 7Oct 7Oct 8

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Daniel Merida wins the Van de Zandschulp vs Merida professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Van de Zandschulp vs Merida professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Opinion publishes a two-sided named-winner market, while Kalshi uses a Yes/No contract focused on Daniel Merida winning. Their cancellation, postponement, completion-window, and settlement-source rules differ, but these are resolution mechanics rather than a different question.
  • Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

    In the upcoming ATP singles match scheduled for 2026-10-08 09:25 UTC: if Botic Van De Zandschulp wins the match, this market resolves to "Botic Van De Zandschulp"; if Daniel Merida Aguilar wins, it resolves to "Daniel Merida Aguilar". The winner is the first player to claim the required number of sets under the match's official best-of format. If the match begins but is not completed, a retirement or default counts the opposing player as the winner. If a walkover is declared before the first point is played, the match is outright canceled, or it is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. Suspensions caused by weather, fading light, or other tournament-imposed delays do not close this market — it stays open until the match is officially completed, provided it concludes within the 7-day window mentioned above. Resolution Source: The official ATP Tour scoring page. Note: This market will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.

    read Oct 8, 01:00 PM UTC

  • Kalshithis market

    Daniel Merida wins

    If Daniel Merida wins the Van de Zandschulp vs Merida professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Van de Zandschulp vs Merida professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 8, 12:04 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Botic Van de Zandschulp winsKalshi99% Botic Van de ZandschulpOpen

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As of Oct 24, 06:24 PM UTC