Will Jaime Faria win set 1 in the Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria match

Jaime Faria99%
No1%

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24h volume$42.7K
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ResolvesOct 6, 202618 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 5, 02:18 PMOct 6, 07:21 AMOct 7, 12:23 AMOct 7, 05:26 PM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Jaime Faria wins set 1 in the Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Kalshi uses its exchange determination and may resolve cancelled or indeterminate cases at fair market price, while Polymarket uses official ATP statistics and specifies 50-50 treatment for incomplete or unplayed matches. The settlement timing also differs, but these are resolution-rule differences rather than different questions.
  • Kalshithis market

    Will Jaime Faria win set 1 in the Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria match

    If Jaime Faria wins set 1 in the Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Set 1 Winner: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria

    This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Gea and Jaime Faria in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Arthur Gea” if Arthur Gea wins the first set. It will resolve to “Jaime Faria” if Jaime Faria wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Arthur Gea win set 1 in the Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria matchKalshi99% NoOpen

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As of Oct 24, 06:55 PM UTC