Will Aleksandar Kovacevic win set 1 in the Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini match

Aleksandar Kovacevic99%
No1%

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24h volume$111K
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ResolvesOct 6, 202619 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 5, 02:17 PMOct 6, 07:20 AMOct 7, 12:23 AMOct 7, 05:26 PM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Aleksandar Kovacevic wins set 1 in the Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. The venues differ in settlement mechanics: Polymarket uses official ATP statistics and specifies 50-50 treatment for an unfinished first set or cancellation, while Kalshi specifies fair-price treatment for certain non-starts or unsettled retirements. Their published settlement dates also differ, but these are resolution-rule differences rather than differences in the underlying question.
  • Kalshithis market

    Will Aleksandar Kovacevic win set 1 in the Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini match

    If Aleksandar Kovacevic wins set 1 in the Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Set 1 Winner: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini

    This market refers to the tennis match between Aleksandar Kovacevic and Matteo Berrettini in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Aleksandar Kovacevic” if Aleksandar Kovacevic wins the first set. It will resolve to “Matteo Berrettini” if Matteo Berrettini wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Matteo Berrettini win set 1 in the Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini matchKalshi99% NoOpen

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As of Oct 25, 06:38 AM UTC