Will Fabian Marozsan win set 2 in the Fabian Marozsan vs Zachary Svajda match

No99%
Fabian Marozsan1%

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24h volume$299
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ResolvesOct 6, 202619 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 5Oct 6Oct 7Oct 7Oct 8

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Fabian Marozsan wins set 2 in the Fabian Marozsan vs Zachary Svajda professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Fabian Marozsan vs Zachary Svajda professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket resolves from official ATP statistics and uses 50-50 outcomes for cancellation or an undetermined set 2, while Kalshi uses fair-market-price treatment for cancellations or outcomes not unconditionally settled. They also publish different resolution deadlines, with Kalshi remaining open after postponement and Polymarket using a 14-day cutoff.
  • Kalshithis market

    Will Fabian Marozsan win set 2 in the Fabian Marozsan vs Zachary Svajda match

    If Fabian Marozsan wins set 2 in the Fabian Marozsan vs Zachary Svajda professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Fabian Marozsan vs Zachary Svajda professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 8, 12:04 PM UTC

  • Set 2 Winner: Fabian Marozsan vs Zachary Svajda

    This market refers to the tennis match between Fabian Marozsan and Zachary Svajda in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Fabian Marozsan” if Fabian Marozsan wins set 2. It will resolve to “Zachary Svajda” if Zachary Svajda wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Zachary Svajda win set 2 in the Fabian Marozsan vs Zachary Svajda matchKalshi99% Zachary SvajdaOpen

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As of Oct 25, 10:49 AM UTC