Will Sho Shimabukuro win set 1 in the Sho Shimabukuro vs Miomir Kecmanovic match

No99%
Sho Shimabukuro1%

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24h volume$10.6K
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ResolvesOct 6, 202619 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 5, 02:17 PMOct 6, 07:20 AMOct 7, 12:23 AMOct 7, 05:26 PM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Sho Shimabukuro wins set 1 in the Sho Shimabukuro vs Miomir Kecmanovic professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Sho Shimabukuro vs Miomir Kecmanovic professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket uses official ATP statistics and may resolve 50-50 for an incomplete first set or an unplayed match after its deadline; Kalshi uses its fair-price rules for cancellations and unresolved situations, with retirement settlement where unconditionally determinable. These are resolution-rule differences only.
  • Set 1 Winner: Sho Shimabukuro vs Miomir Kecmanovic

    This market refers to the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Miomir Kecmanovic in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Sho Shimabukuro” if Sho Shimabukuro wins the first set. It will resolve to “Miomir Kecmanovic” if Miomir Kecmanovic wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

  • Kalshithis market

    Will Sho Shimabukuro win set 1 in the Sho Shimabukuro vs Miomir Kecmanovic match

    If Sho Shimabukuro wins set 1 in the Sho Shimabukuro vs Miomir Kecmanovic professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Sho Shimabukuro vs Miomir Kecmanovic professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Miomir Kecmanovic win set 1 in the Sho Shimabukuro vs Miomir Kecmanovic matchKalshi99% Miomir KecmanovicOpen

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As of Oct 25, 09:03 AM UTC