Will Iga Swiatek win set 1 in the Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek match

Iga Swiatek99%
No1%

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24h volume$52.6K
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ResolvesOct 6, 202618 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 5, 02:00 PMOct 6, 07:11 AMOct 7, 12:23 AMOct 7, 05:35 PM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Iga Swiatek wins set 1 in the Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Beijing Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Beijing Round Of 16. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket uses official WTA statistics and resolves incomplete first sets or an unplayed match 50-50, while Kalshi uses fair-price resolution for matches that do not occur and may settle conditionally after a retirement. Kalshi also allows a postponed match to remain open for up to two weeks; these criteria do not materially change the asked event.
  • Set 1 Winner: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek

    This market refers to the tennis match between Iva Jovic and Iga Swiatek in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Iva Jovic” if Iva Jovic wins the first set. It will resolve to “Iga Swiatek” if Iga Swiatek wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

  • Kalshithis market

    Will Iga Swiatek win set 1 in the Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek match

    If Iga Swiatek wins set 1 in the Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Beijing Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Beijing Round Of 16. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Iva Jovic win set 1 in the Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek matchKalshi99% NoOpen

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As of Oct 24, 05:14 PM UTC