KalshiResolved

Will the gold close price be above 4196 USD/t.oz on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4196

No98%
Above $41962%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume$889
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread—
ResolvesOct 6, 202618 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 5, 02:13 PMOct 6, 02:29 AMOct 6, 02:46 PMOct 7, 03:02 AM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4196 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the gold close price be above 4166 USD/t.oz on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4166Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4176 USD/t.oz on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4176Kalshi97% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4136 USD/t.oz on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4136Kalshi99% Above $4136Open
Will the gold close price be above 4126 USD/t.oz on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4126Kalshi96% Above $4126Open
Will the gold close price be above 4186 USD/t.oz on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4186Kalshi98% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4156 USD/t.oz on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4156Kalshi99% Above $4156Open
Will the gold close price be above 4116 USD/t.oz on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4116Kalshi99% Above $4116Open
Will the gold close price be above 4146 USD/t.oz on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4146Kalshi98% Above $4146Open
Will the gold close price be above 4206 USD/t.oz on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4206Kalshi98% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4106 USD/t.oz on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4106Kalshi98% Above $4106Open
Will the gold close price be above 4216 USD/t.oz on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4216Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4316 USD/t.oz on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4316Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4096 USD/t.oz on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4096Kalshi99% Above $4096Open
Will the gold close price be above 4016 USD/t.oz on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4016Kalshi99% Above $4016Open
Will the gold close price be above 4056 USD/t.oz on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4056Kalshi96% Above $4056Open
Will the gold close price be above 4046 USD/t.oz on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4046Kalshi97% Above $4046Open
Will the gold close price be above 4066 USD/t.oz on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4066Kalshi99% Above $4066Open
Will the gold close price be above 4076 USD/t.oz on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4076Kalshi98% Above $4076Open
Will the gold close price be above 4226 USD/t.oz on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4226Kalshi98% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4236 USD/t.oz on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4236Kalshi98% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4086 USD/t.oz on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4086Kalshi98% Above $4086Open
Will the gold close price be above 4246 USD/t.oz on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4246Kalshi98% NoOpen
Will the gold close price be above 4256 USD/t.oz on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4256Kalshi—Open
Will the gold close price be above 4006 USD/t.oz on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4006Kalshi—Open
Will the gold close price be above 4026 USD/t.oz on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4026Kalshi—Open

Venue activity

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Trades (24h)—
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Open interest—
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As of Oct 25, 05:49 AM UTC