Natus Vincere wins

No99%
Natus Vincere1%

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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$171.4K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
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ResolvesOct 6, 202618 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 5, 02:03 PMOct 5, 11:43 PMOct 6, 09:22 AMOct 6, 07:02 PM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Natus Vincere wins the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026: Natus Vincere vs. OKSavingsBank BRION League of Legends match originally scheduled for Oct 6, 2026 at 3:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the full match in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026: Natus Vincere vs. OKSavingsBank BRION League of Legends match originally scheduled for Oct 6, 2026 at 3:00 AM EDT If the relevant match is postponed and not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If the relevant match is cancelled before play begins, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If the relevant match is forfeited before any play occurs, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If the relevant match begins and is subsequently forfeited, the market will resolve according to the official result published by the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. The venues differ materially only in fallback rules: Kalshi uses fair-market-price resolution if the match is not timely played, while Polymarket uses 50-50 under its cancellation, tie, or postponement conditions. They also use different publication times and settlement sources.
  • Kalshithis market

    Natus Vincere wins

    If Natus Vincere wins the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026: Natus Vincere vs. OKSavingsBank BRION League of Legends match originally scheduled for Oct 6, 2026 at 3:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the full match in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026: Natus Vincere vs. OKSavingsBank BRION League of Legends match originally scheduled for Oct 6, 2026 at 3:00 AM EDT If the relevant match is postponed and not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If the relevant match is cancelled before play begins, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If the relevant match is forfeited before any play occurs, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If the relevant match begins and is subsequently forfeited, the market will resolve according to the official result published by the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere: HANJIN BRION wins

    This market refers to the LoL Round 3 match between HANJIN BRION and Natus Vincere in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win the match against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against HANJIN BRION. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 6, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
OKSavingsBank BRION winsKalshi99% OKSavingsBank BRIONOpen

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As of Oct 24, 08:27 PM UTC