Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Mariano Navone and Pablo Carreno Busta in the ATP Shanghai Masters, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 02:00 UTC. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navone' if Mariano Navone advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Mariano Navone. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The same question elsewhere
2 venues carry itPablo Carreno Busta wins
If Pablo Carreno Busta wins the Navone vs Carreno Busta professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Navone vs Carreno Busta professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
read Oct 8, 03:31 PM UTC
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Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta
This market refers to the tennis match between Mariano Navone and Pablo Carreno Busta in the ATP Shanghai Masters, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 02:00 UTC. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navone' if Mariano Navone advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Mariano Navone. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
5 holders · read Oct 8, 08:33 AM UTC
Venue activity
Read from the venue 17 days agoBest bid 40% · best ask 46%
Top holders
- 0x61761B4Ff620607295e894f7c529A4De35dEc3B4Yes$752
- 0x61761B4Ff620607295e894f7c529A4De35dEc3B4No$248
- 0xC36B0C82478B3257866B6023116C1F62a941D970Yes$54
- 0xA8A7ddBc2F9ffeae26EBB89D44C75bc155a4e87fYes$39
- 0x8Db33614Eb41d7f6B9745118e28225194b52e10CNo$30
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- —75%$4017 days ago
- —26%$1017 days ago
- —43%$317 days ago
- —68%$517 days ago
- —58%$5017 days ago
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As of Oct 24, 09:55 PM UTC