LimitlessResolvedvenue data is stalePart of a cross-venue question

Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic

Yes100%
No0%

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ResolvesOct 8, 202616 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 5, 12:40 PMOct 6, 05:05 AMOct 6, 09:30 PMOct 7, 01:55 PM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fery and Marin Cilic in the ATP Shanghai Masters, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 02:00 UTC. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fery' if Arthur Fery advances against Marin Cilic. This market will resolve to 'Marin Cilic' if Marin Cilic advances against Arthur Fery. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Limitless uses a 14-day resolution window, Opinion uses a 7-day window, and Kalshi keeps the market open through a rescheduled match within two weeks. They also differ in treatment of walkovers/cancellations and source-of-truth rules.
  • A. Fery vs Marin Cilic

    In the upcoming ATP singles match scheduled for 2026-10-07 12:00 UTC: if A. Fery wins the match, this market resolves to "A. Fery"; if Marin Cilic wins, it resolves to "Marin Cilic". The winner is the first player to claim the required number of sets under the match's official best-of format. If the match begins but is not completed, a retirement or default counts the opposing player as the winner. If a walkover is declared before the first point is played, the match is outright canceled, or it is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. Suspensions caused by weather, fading light, or other tournament-imposed delays do not close this market — it stays open until the match is officially completed, provided it concludes within the 7-day window mentioned above. Resolution Source: The official ATP Tour scoring page. Note: This market will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.

    read Oct 7, 10:28 AM UTC

  • Marin Cilic wins

    If Marin Cilic wins the Fery vs Cilic professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Fery vs Cilic professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Limitlessthis market

    Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic

    This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fery and Marin Cilic in the ATP Shanghai Masters, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 02:00 UTC. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fery' if Arthur Fery advances against Marin Cilic. This market will resolve to 'Marin Cilic' if Marin Cilic advances against Arthur Fery. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

    0 holders · read Oct 6, 06:59 PM UTC

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Best bid 59% · best ask 63%

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As of Oct 24, 11:11 PM UTC