Kareckaite vs Gatto: Ernesta Kareckaite

No100%
Yes0%

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ResolvesOct 11, 202613 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 5Oct 7Oct 8Oct 10Oct 11

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if Ernesta Kareckaite wins the Kareckaite vs Gatto professional MMA fight scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. Important information: If the fight ends in a draw/tie or no contest, this market will resolve No. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within 7 days). If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over 7 days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Sources: The Wall Street Journal, Fox Sports, and ESPN. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Gemini resolves a draw/no contest as No and keeps postponed fights open for up to 7 days; Kalshi resolves a tie/no contest 50/50 and allows up to two weeks for postponement. They also list different nominal resolution times and sources, but these do not change the event or outcome being measured.
  • Geminithis market

    Kareckaite vs Gatto: Ernesta Kareckaite

    This market resolves to Yes if Ernesta Kareckaite wins the Kareckaite vs Gatto professional MMA fight scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. Important information: If the fight ends in a draw/tie or no contest, this market will resolve No. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within 7 days). If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over 7 days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Sources: The Wall Street Journal, Fox Sports, and ESPN. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)

    read Oct 10, 05:22 PM UTC

  • Ernesta Kareckaite wins

    If Ernesta Kareckaite wins the Kareckaite vs Gatto professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Kareckaite vs Gatto professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

    read Oct 11, 06:52 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Kareckaite vs Gatto: Melissa GattoGemini100% NoOpen

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As of Oct 24, 01:43 PM UTC