Set 2 Winner: Sho Shimabukuro vs Miomir Kecmanovic

Miomir Kecmanovic100%
Sho Shimabukuro0%

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ResolvesOct 14, 202611 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 5, 11:54 AMOct 6, 10:58 AMOct 7, 10:02 AMOct 8, 09:07 AM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Miomir Kecmanovic in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Sho Shimabukuro” if Sho Shimabukuro wins set 2. It will resolve to “Miomir Kecmanovic” if Miomir Kecmanovic wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi resolves after the match (and allows postponement within two weeks), with fair-market-price treatment for some cancellations or indeterminate outcomes; Polymarket uses official ATP statistics and resolves 50-50 if set 2 lacks a winner or the match is canceled/not begun by its deadline. These criteria differ materially for edge cases, but not for the stated set-2 winner question.
  • Will Miomir Kecmanovic win set 2 in the Sho Shimabukuro vs Miomir Kecmanovic match

    If Miomir Kecmanovic wins set 2 in the Sho Shimabukuro vs Miomir Kecmanovic professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Sho Shimabukuro vs Miomir Kecmanovic professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Polymarketthis market

    Set 2 Winner: Sho Shimabukuro vs Miomir Kecmanovic

    This market refers to the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Miomir Kecmanovic in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Sho Shimabukuro” if Sho Shimabukuro wins set 2. It will resolve to “Miomir Kecmanovic” if Miomir Kecmanovic wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sho Shimabukuro vs Miomir KecmanovicPolymarket100% Miomir KecmanovicOpen
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Sho Shimabukuro vs Miomir KecmanovicPolymarket100% YesOpen
Set 1 Winner: Sho Shimabukuro vs Miomir KecmanovicPolymarket100% Miomir KecmanovicOpen
Sho Shimabukuro vs. Miomir Kecmanovic: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket100% Under 2.5Open
Shimabukuro vs. Kecmanovic: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Shimabukuro vs. Kecmanovic: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Shimabukuro vs. Kecmanovic: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Shimabukuro vs. Kecmanovic: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Shimabukuro vs. Kecmanovic: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Game Spread: Miomir Kecmanovic (-2.5) vs Sho Shimabukuro (+2.5)Polymarket100% Miomir KecmanovicOpen
Shimabukuro vs. Kecmanovic: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Miomir Kecmanovic (-1.5) vs Sho Shimabukuro (+1.5)Polymarket100% Miomir KecmanovicOpen
Shimabukuro vs. Kecmanovic: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Shimabukuro vs. Kecmanovic: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Shimabukuro vs. Kecmanovic: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen

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As of Oct 24, 10:36 PM UTC