Set 1 Winner: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth

Hubert Hurkacz100%
James Duckworth0%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume$227
7d volume$227
30d volume$227
Liquidity$0
Spread0%
ResolvesOct 14, 202611 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 5, 11:54 AMOct 6, 10:59 AMOct 7, 10:04 AMOct 8, 09:08 AM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Hubert Hurkacz and James Duckworth in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Hubert Hurkacz” if Hubert Hurkacz wins the first set. It will resolve to “James Duckworth” if James Duckworth wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket uses official ATP statistics and specifies 50-50 settlement for an uncompleted first set or unplayed match; Kalshi uses its exchange fair-price rules for such cases and allows settlement of conditionally determinable outcomes after retirement. Their stated settlement dates also differ, but this does not change the question.
  • Will Hubert Hurkacz win set 1 in the Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth match

    If Hubert Hurkacz wins set 1 in the Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 7, 03:57 PM UTC

  • Polymarketthis market

    Set 1 Winner: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth

    This market refers to the tennis match between Hubert Hurkacz and James Duckworth in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Hubert Hurkacz” if Hubert Hurkacz wins the first set. It will resolve to “James Duckworth” if James Duckworth wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James DuckworthPolymarket100% Hubert HurkaczOpen
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Hubert Hurkacz vs James DuckworthPolymarket100% YesOpen
Hurkacz vs. Duckworth: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Hubert Hurkacz (-1.5) vs James Duckworth (+1.5)Polymarket100% Hubert HurkaczOpen
Hubert Hurkacz vs. James Duckworth: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket100% Under 2.5Open
Set 2 Winner: Hubert Hurkacz vs James DuckworthPolymarket100% Hubert HurkaczOpen
Game Spread: Hubert Hurkacz (-3.5) vs James Duckworth (+3.5)Polymarket100% Hubert HurkaczOpen
Hurkacz vs. Duckworth: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Hurkacz vs. Duckworth: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Hurkacz vs. Duckworth: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Hurkacz vs. Duckworth: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Hurkacz vs. Duckworth: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Hurkacz vs. Duckworth: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Hurkacz vs. Duckworth: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Hurkacz vs. Duckworth: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen

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As of Oct 25, 07:28 AM UTC