Set 2 Winner: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria

Arthur Gea100%
Jaime Faria0%

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ResolvesOct 14, 202611 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 5, 11:54 AMOct 6, 10:58 AMOct 7, 10:02 AMOct 8, 09:07 AM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Gea and Jaime Faria in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Arthur Gea” if Arthur Gea wins set 2. It will resolve to “Jaime Faria” if Jaime Faria wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket uses explicit Arthur Gea/Jaime Faria outcomes and ATP statistics, with a 50-50 rule when set 2 lacks a completed winner; Kalshi uses Yes/No-style outcomes (displayed as No/Arthur Gea), fair-market-price rules for non-occurrence or unconditionally unsettled cases, and may remain open after postponement.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Set 2 Winner: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria

    This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Gea and Jaime Faria in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Arthur Gea” if Arthur Gea wins set 2. It will resolve to “Jaime Faria” if Jaime Faria wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

  • Will Arthur Gea win set 2 in the Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria match

    If Arthur Gea wins set 2 in the Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Arthur Gea vs Jaime FariaPolymarket100% YesOpen
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime FariaPolymarket100% Arthur GeaOpen
Gea vs. Faria: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Gea vs. Faria: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Gea vs. Faria: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Gea vs. Faria: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Game Spread: Arthur Gea (-1.5) vs Jaime Faria (+1.5)Polymarket100% Arthur GeaOpen
Set 1 Winner: Arthur Gea vs Jaime FariaPolymarket100% Jaime FariaOpen
Arthur Gea vs. Jaime Faria: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket100% Over 2.5Open
Set Handicap: Arthur Gea (-1.5) vs Jaime Faria (+1.5)Polymarket100% Jaime FariaOpen
Gea vs. Faria: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Gea vs. Faria: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Gea vs. Faria: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Gea vs. Faria: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Gea vs. Faria: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen

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As of Oct 25, 03:10 AM UTC