Set 2 Winner: Luca Van Assche vs Yunchaokete Bu

Yunchaokete Bu100%
Luca Van Assche0%

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ResolvesOct 14, 202611 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 5Oct 6Oct 8Oct 9Oct 11

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Van Assche and Yunchaokete Bu in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Luca Van Assche” if Luca Van Assche wins set 2. It will resolve to “Yunchaokete Bu” if Yunchaokete Bu wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Kalshi uses fair-price treatment for some cancellations or indeterminate outcomes, while Polymarket specifies 50-50 treatment and uses official ATP statistics. Kalshi also allows settlement after postponement within two weeks; these are resolution-rule differences only.
  • Will Yunchaokete Bu win set 2 in the Luca Van Assche vs Yunchaokete Bu match

    If Yunchaokete Bu wins set 2 in the Luca Van Assche vs Yunchaokete Bu professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Luca Van Assche vs Yunchaokete Bu professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 8, 01:00 PM UTC

  • Polymarketthis market

    Set 2 Winner: Luca Van Assche vs Yunchaokete Bu

    This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Van Assche and Yunchaokete Bu in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Luca Van Assche” if Luca Van Assche wins set 2. It will resolve to “Yunchaokete Bu” if Yunchaokete Bu wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Luca Van Assche vs Yunchaokete BuPolymarket100% YesOpen
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Yunchaokete BuPolymarket100% Yunchaokete BuOpen
Set 1 Winner: Luca Van Assche vs Yunchaokete BuPolymarket100% Yunchaokete BuOpen
Game Spread: Yunchaokete Bu (-2.5) vs Luca Van Assche (+2.5)Polymarket100% Yunchaokete BuOpen
Luca Van Assche vs. Yunchaokete Bu: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket100% Under 2.5Open
Assche vs. Bu: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Assche vs. Bu: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Assche vs. Bu: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Assche vs. Bu: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Assche vs. Bu: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Assche vs. Bu: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Yunchaokete Bu (-1.5) vs Luca Van Assche (+1.5)Polymarket100% Yunchaokete BuOpen
Assche vs. Bu: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Assche vs. Bu: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Assche vs. Bu: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket100% OverOpen

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As of Oct 25, 12:26 PM UTC