Highest temperature in NYC on October 6? — 71 or above

No100%
Yes0%

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ResolvesOct 7, 202617 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 5, 01:03 PMOct 6, 06:34 AMOct 7, 12:05 AMOct 7, 05:36 PM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Will the highest temperature recorded at Central Park (KNYC) in New York City for 2026-10-06 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) be greater than or equal to 71F? Outcome verified from NWS Climatological Report.

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  • Polymarket USthis market

    Highest temperature in NYC on October 6? — 71 or above

    Will the highest temperature recorded at Central Park (KNYC) in New York City for 2026-10-06 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) be greater than or equal to 71F? Outcome verified from NWS Climatological Report.

    read Oct 6, 10:00 AM UTC

  • Highest temperature in NYC on October 6, 2026? — 71°F or above

    This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at Central Park NY, NY on October 6, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service ("NWS") Climatological Report (Daily) for Central Park NY, NY. Specifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at Central Park NY on October 6, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract. Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for October 6, 2026 as documented by the NWS. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Weather_Terms_and_Conditions_67323dd4-5775-48d5-bea0-c33d672d1f74.pdf).

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Highest temperature in NYC on October 6? — 62 or belowPolymarketUs100% YesOpen
Highest temperature in NYC on October 6? — 63 to 64PolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Highest temperature in NYC on October 6? — 65 to 66PolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Highest temperature in NYC on October 6? — 67 to 68PolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Highest temperature in NYC on October 6? — 69 to 70PolymarketUs100% NoOpen

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As of Oct 24, 06:35 PM UTC