Atlas wins

Atlas99%
No1%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume$964K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread—
ResolvesOct 17, 20268 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 4Oct 8Oct 11Oct 14Oct 17

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Atlas wins the Necaxa vs Atlas professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Necaxa vs Atlas professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. The venues differ only in settlement mechanics and timing: Gemini settles at 2026-10-17T09:00:00Z, while Kalshi settles at 2026-10-17T04:00:00Z and includes explicit tie/cancellation handling. Those differences do not change the underlying question of whether Atlas wins in regulation time.
  • Atlas vs Necaxa: regulation time: Atlas wins

    This market resolves to Yes if Atlas wins the Liga MX match between Atlas and Necaxa scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the Liga MX governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)

    read Oct 16, 06:06 AM UTC

  • Kalshithis market

    Atlas wins

    If Atlas wins the Necaxa vs Atlas professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Necaxa vs Atlas professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 16, 09:46 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Necaxa winsKalshi99% NoOpen
Tie is the resultKalshi99% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 11:37 PM UTC