Will Donald Trump make between 220 and 240 Truth Social posts the week of Oct 4, 2026? 220-240
Price has not been independently checked yet.
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from Oct 4, 2026 to Oct 10, 2026 is between 220 and 240, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The observation period begins at 12:00 AM ET on Oct 4, 2026 and ends at 11:59 PM ET on Oct 10, 2026. The primary resolution source for this market is Roll Call. In the event that Roll Call data is unavailable or inaccurate, alternative sources may be used at Kalshi's discretion. Payout criteria Truths, ReTruths, and Quote Truths are included in the total count. Replies are included if captured by Roll Call. "Between" is inclusive of the lower and upper bound. Doesn’t count for payout: Posts deleted as of the Expiration Time.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.Venue activity
Read from the venue 15 days agoDiscussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Oct 25, 06:16 AM UTC