Oregon wins by over 14.5 points

No99%
Oregon wins by over 14.5 points1%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume$28.8K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread—
ResolvesOct 10, 202614 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 4Oct 6Oct 7Oct 9Oct 11

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Oregon wins by more than 14.5 points in the UCLA vs Oregon college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi specifies a 48-hour postponement window and otherwise may resolve to a fair price, while Polymarket remains open until completion and resolves a cancellation without a makeup game 50-50. They also cite different or unspecified settlement sources, with no material effect on the asked fact.
  • Kalshithis market

    Oregon wins by over 14.5 points

    If Oregon wins by more than 14.5 points in the UCLA vs Oregon college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 10, 11:36 PM UTC

  • UCLA vs Oregon: spread: Oregon (-14.5)

    In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 10 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Oregon" if Oregon win the game by 15 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "UCLA". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Oregon wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Oregon wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Oregon wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Oregon wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Oregon wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
UCLA wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Oregon wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
UCLA wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Oregon wins by over 11.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
UCLA wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi99% UCLA wins by over 1.5 pointsOpen
UCLA wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
UCLA wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
UCLA wins by over 4.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
UCLA wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Oregon wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Oregon wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
UCLA wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
UCLA wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Oregon wins by over 4.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Oregon wins by over 12.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Oregon wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
UCLA wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
UCLA wins by over 11.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Oregon wins by over 17.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Oregon wins by over 16.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 04:28 PM UTC