Vegas wins by over 2.5 goals

Vegas wins by over 2.5 goals96%
No4%

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24h volume$19.1K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
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ResolvesOct 7, 202618 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 4Oct 5Oct 5Oct 6Oct 7

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Vegas wins by over 2.5 goals in the Vegas vs Seattle NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi resolves by its stated postponement window and fair-price cancellation rule, while Gemini uses its listed source hierarchy and market-review process if the result cannot be determined. Their resolution times also differ, but these are settlement mechanics rather than a different question.
  • Kalshithis market

    Vegas wins by over 2.5 goals

    If Vegas wins by over 2.5 goals in the Vegas vs Seattle NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

    read Oct 5, 06:09 PM UTC

  • Vegas vs Seattle: spread: Vegas (-2.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Vegas in the entire NHL game between Vegas and Seattle scheduled for 2026-10-06 at 8:40 p.m. CT is above 2.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Vegas's score minus Seattle's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NHL), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf).

    read Oct 6, 04:53 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Vegas wins by over 1.5 goalsKalshi99% Vegas wins by over 1.5 goalsOpen
Seattle wins by over 1.5 goalsKalshi99% NoOpen
Seattle wins by over 2.5 goalsKalshi99% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 08:29 PM UTC