Tennessee wins by over 11.5 points

No99%
Tennessee wins by over 11.5 points1%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume$40.9K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread—
ResolvesOct 10, 202614 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 4Oct 6Oct 7Oct 9Oct 11

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Tennessee wins by more than 11.5 points in the Tennessee vs Arkansas college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. The venues differ in settlement timing and operational rules: Gemini resolves using listed source agencies and may review cancellations or other indeterminate outcomes, while Kalshi has a 48-hour postponement rule and may resolve to a fair price if the game does not start within that window.
  • Tennessee vs Arkansas: spread: Tennessee (-11.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Tennessee in the entire college football game between Tennessee and Arkansas scheduled for 2026-10-10 at 3:00 p.m. CT is above 11.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Tennessee's score minus Arkansas's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Spread_Class_941e2dcb-07e0-4ee4-9d21-bdd1a7612f13.pdf).

    read Oct 10, 01:50 PM UTC

  • Kalshithis market

    Tennessee wins by over 11.5 points

    If Tennessee wins by more than 11.5 points in the Tennessee vs Arkansas college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 10, 04:33 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Tennessee wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Tennessee wins by over 14.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Tennessee wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi99% Tennessee wins by over 3.5 pointsOpen
Tennessee wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi99% Tennessee wins by over 6.5 pointsOpen
Tennessee wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi99% Tennessee wins by over 2.5 pointsOpen
Tennessee wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Tennessee wins by over 4.5 pointsKalshi99% Tennessee wins by over 4.5 pointsOpen
Tennessee wins by over 17.5 pointsKalshi97% NoOpen
Tennessee wins by over 16.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Tennessee wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi99% Tennessee wins by over 5.5 pointsOpen
Tennessee wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Tennessee wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Arkansas wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Tennessee wins by over 21.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Arkansas wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi98% NoOpen
Tennessee wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi96% Tennessee wins by over 1.5 pointsOpen
Arkansas wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Tennessee wins by over 20.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Tennessee wins by over 27.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Arkansas wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Arkansas wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Arkansas wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Arkansas wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Arkansas wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Tennessee wins by over 23.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen

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As of Oct 24, 09:21 PM UTC