New York Yankees to win the 3rd inning?

No100%
Yes0%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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ResolvesOct 6, 202619 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 4Oct 4Oct 5Oct 6Oct 7

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for October 5 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees scores more runs than the Tampa Bay Rays in the 3rd inning. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays scores more runs than the New York Yankees in the 3rd inning. If both teams score the same number of runs in the 3rd inning, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market will resolve based on the runs officially recorded in the 3rd inning, regardless of whether both teams come to bat in that inning. If the game reaches an official final result without the 3rd inning being played, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 3rd inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi uses a fair-price outcome if the game is called before the 3rd inning is completed, while Polymarket specifies a 50-50 resolution in certain unplayed-inning cases and explicitly offers a draw for a tie. They also cite different settlement timing/source details, without changing the event being compared.
  • New York Y scores more in the 3rd inning?

    If New York Y scores more runs in the 3rd inning of the New York Y vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Important Information: Only runs scored during the 3rd inning count towards this market. If the game is called before the 3rd inning is completed this market will resolve to a Fair Price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Polymarketthis market

    New York Yankees to win the 3rd inning?

    In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for October 5 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees scores more runs than the Tampa Bay Rays in the 3rd inning. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays scores more runs than the New York Yankees in the 3rd inning. If both teams score the same number of runs in the 3rd inning, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market will resolve based on the runs officially recorded in the 3rd inning, regardless of whether both teams come to bat in that inning. If the game reaches an official final result without the 3rd inning being played, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 3rd inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: 3rd inning tied?Polymarket100% YesOpen
Tampa Bay Rays to win the 3rd inning?Polymarket100% NoOpen

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As of Oct 24, 09:24 PM UTC