New York Y vs Tampa Bay: spread: Tampa Bay (-2.5)

Tampa Bay (-2.5)100%
New York Y (+2.5)0%

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ResolvesOct 7, 202618 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 4, 01:57 AMOct 4, 06:27 PMOct 5, 10:58 AMOct 6, 03:28 AM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Tampa Bay Rays in the entire Pro Baseball game between Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET is above 2.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. If the event is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the event is played or the applicable season or tournament ends, and the Expiration Date may be adjusted accordingly. The Underlying is the score differential (Tampa Bay Rays's score minus New York Yankees's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_-_MLB_Spread_Classdocx_9b57b581-3ff2-4772-9e17-9576585b0a4f.pdf)

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Gemini uses a Yes/No outcome and may adjust expiration for postponement or unresolved events, while Polymarket uses team labels, explicitly assigns ties to New York and cancellations without makeup to a 50-50 result, and specifies MLB/credible-reporting sources. Their listed resolution times also differ, but the underlying settled spread is the same.
  • Geminithis market

    New York Y vs Tampa Bay: spread: Tampa Bay (-2.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Tampa Bay Rays in the entire Pro Baseball game between Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET is above 2.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. If the event is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the event is played or the applicable season or tournament ends, and the Expiration Date may be adjusted accordingly. The Underlying is the score differential (Tampa Bay Rays's score minus New York Yankees's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_-_MLB_Spread_Classdocx_9b57b581-3ff2-4772-9e17-9576585b0a4f.pdf)

    read Oct 6, 02:53 AM UTC

  • New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays: spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)

    In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for October 5 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game by 3 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "New York Yankees". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "New York Yankees". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
New York Y vs Tampa Bay: spread: Tampa Bay (-3.5)Gemini100% New York Y (+3.5)Open
New York Y vs Tampa Bay: spread: New York Y (-3.5)Gemini100% Tampa Bay (+3.5)Open
New York Y vs Tampa Bay: spread: Tampa Bay (-1.5)Gemini100% Tampa Bay (-1.5)Open
New York Y vs Tampa Bay: spread: New York Y (-1.5)Gemini100% Tampa Bay (+1.5)Open
New York Y vs Tampa Bay: spread: New York Y (-2.5)Gemini100% Tampa Bay (+2.5)Open
New York Y vs Tampa Bay: spread: Tampa Bay (-4.5)Gemini100% New York Y (+4.5)Open
New York Y vs Tampa Bay: spread: Tampa Bay (-6.5)Gemini100% New York Y (+6.5)Open

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As of Oct 25, 07:36 AM UTC