KalshiResolvedPart of a cross-venue question

UMass wins

No99%

UMass1%

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24h volume$1.1M

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread—

ResolvesOct 17, 20268 days ago

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If UMass wins the UMass vs Buffalo college football game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

3 venues carry it

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Comparable, not identical. They differ on settlement mechanics only: Kalshi uses a fair price if the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours, while Polymarket/PredictFun use 50-50 for tie/cancellation and keep the market open if postponed. Settlement source and exact resolve time also differ, but those are immaterial to the question.

this market
UMass wins
If UMass wins the UMass vs Buffalo college football game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
read Oct 16, 07:05 PM UTC
Open
UMass vs Buffalo: UMass wins
In the upcoming college football game between UMass and Buffalo, scheduled for October 17 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "UMass" if UMass win the game. This market will resolve to "Buffalo" if Buffalo win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Open
UMass vs. Buffalo
In the upcoming college football game between UMass and Buffalo, scheduled for October 17 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "UMass" if UMass win the game. This market will resolve to "Buffalo" if Buffalo win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
read Oct 17, 05:22 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Buffalo wins	Kalshi	99% Buffalo	$1.7M	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 8 days ago

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As of Oct 24, 06:35 PM UTC