PolymarketResolved

Set 1 Winner: Keegan Smith vs Hiroki Moriya

Keegan Smith100%
Hiroki Moriya0%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume—
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Liquidity$0
Spread0%
ResolvesOct 12, 202613 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 3Oct 4Oct 5Oct 6Oct 6

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Keegan Smith and Hiroki Moriya in the Wuning 3, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Keegan Smith” if Keegan Smith wins the first set. It will resolve to “Hiroki Moriya” if Hiroki Moriya wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Wuning 3: Keegan Smith vs Hiroki MoriyaPolymarket100% Hiroki MoriyaOpen
Wuning 3: Completed Match: Keegan Smith vs Hiroki MoriyaPolymarket100% YesOpen
Smith vs. Moriya: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Smith vs. Moriya: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Smith vs. Moriya: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Smith vs. Moriya: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Keegan Smith vs Hiroki MoriyaPolymarket100% Hiroki MoriyaOpen
Smith vs. Moriya: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Keegan Smith vs. Hiroki Moriya: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket100% Over 2.5Open
Smith vs. Moriya: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Smith vs. Moriya: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Game Spread: Keegan Smith (-3.5) vs Hiroki Moriya (+3.5)Polymarket100% Hiroki MoriyaOpen
Smith vs. Moriya: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Set Handicap: Keegan Smith (-1.5) vs Hiroki Moriya (+1.5)Polymarket100% Hiroki MoriyaOpen
Smith vs. Moriya: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen

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As of Oct 25, 08:09 AM UTC