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Netanyahu drops out before election?

No99%

Yes1%

Price checked at Oct 24, 08:38 PM UTC

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24h volume$12

7d volume$1.3K

30d volume$3.6K

Liquidity$11.1K

Spread1%

ResolvesOct 27, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM Jerusalem Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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As of Oct 24, 09:07 PM UTC