Leeds United wins by more than 1.5 goals?

No99%
Leeds United wins by more than 1.5 goals1%

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24h volume$55K
7d volume—
30d volume—
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ResolvesOct 10, 202614 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 3Oct 5Oct 7Oct 9Oct 11

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Leeds United wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Arsenal vs Leeds United professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. The venues list different resolution times (Gemini Oct 11 and Kalshi Oct 10), and Gemini specifies a source-agency hierarchy and contingency review process while Kalshi does not; these are settlement-mechanism differences, not different questions.
  • Leeds vs Arsenal: regulation time spread: Leeds (-1.5)

    If Leeds United beats Arsenal by more than 1.5 goals in the English Premier League scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Leeds United's goals minus Arsenal's goals) of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (Premier League), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf).

    read Oct 10, 09:07 AM UTC

  • Kalshithis market

    Leeds United wins by more than 1.5 goals?

    If Leeds United wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Arsenal vs Leeds United professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 11, 02:28 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Arsenal wins by more than 1.5 goals?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Arsenal wins by more than 2.5 goals?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Leeds United wins by more than 2.5 goals?Kalshi99% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 09:20 PM UTC