PolymarketOpen

Will Grok Bot be available on the free plan by October 31, 2026?

No97%
Yes3%

Price checked at

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24h volume$17
7d volume$59
30d volume$2.6K
Liquidity$748
Spread4%
ResolvesNov 1, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

On September 8, 2026, Meta launched Muse, a personal AI agent that runs on a cloud computer dedicated to each user, and made it free to use, including the cloud computer. SpaceXAI's similar product, Grok Bot, launched on August 11, 2026, is available only on paid SuperGrok and Cursor plans. This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceXAI makes Grok Bot available for use without requiring a paid subscription or other paid entitlement by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Free access subject to usage limits will qualify. Access through a free trial or promotional offer of a paid plan will not qualify. Free access must be launched and publicly accessible through an official distribution channel, including via open beta or a gradual rollout to users without a paid subscription or other paid entitlement. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. Availability limited to certain countries will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Grok Bot be available on the free plan by December 31, 2026?Polymarket90% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 25, 04:30 AM UTC