Will Gabriel Bortoleto finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?

No95%
Yes5%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$658
Spread10%
ResolvesNov 1, 2026in 8 days

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 3Oct 8Oct 14Oct 19Oct 24Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 United States Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. If the United States Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the United States Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.

Sourcehttps://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Gemini cites FIA/ESPN/Fox Sports and has a market outcome review process for edge cases; Polymarket uses the FIA final classification and explicitly says postponement stays open and permanent cancellation resolves 50-50. These are settlement differences, not different questions.
  • United States Grand Prix Podium: Gabriel Bortoleto

    This market resolves to Yes if Gabriel Bortoleto officially finishes on the podium (top 3) of the Formula 1 Grand Prix scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (FIA), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a driver forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)

    read Oct 24, 04:58 AM UTC

  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Gabriel Bortoleto finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 United States Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. If the United States Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the United States Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Polymarket53% YesOpen
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Polymarket68% NoOpen
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Polymarket77% YesOpen
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Polymarket90% NoOpen
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Polymarket63% YesOpen
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Polymarket68% NoOpen
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Polymarket64% NoOpen
Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Polymarket85% NoOpen
Will Oliver Bearman finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Alexander Albon finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Valtteri Bottas finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Franco Colapinto finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Sergio Perez finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Fernando Alonso finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Lance Stroll finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Arvid Lindblad finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Esteban Ocon finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Yuki Tsunoda finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Nico Hulkenberg finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Liam Lawson finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Polymarket97% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Oct 24, 03:53 PM UTC