KalshiOpen

Total space launches in October: How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? Above 14

No88%
Above 1412%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread6%
ResolvesNov 8, 2026next month

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 3, 02:29 AMOct 3, 09:49 AMOct 3, 05:09 PMOct 4, 12:29 AM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have Above 14 launches in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Source Agency records the date of liftoff in a different time zone, the Exchange will convert to Eastern Time for purposes of allocating the launch to the time period. Please see full rules for more details.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Total space launches in October: How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? Above 12Kalshi61% NoOpen
Total space launches in October: How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? Above 10Kalshi93% Above 10Open
Total space launches in October: How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? Above 9Kalshi95% Above 9Open
Total space launches in October: How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? Above 11Kalshi73% Above 11Open
Total space launches in October: How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? Above 20Kalshi98% NoOpen
Total space launches in October: How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? Above 18Kalshi96% NoOpen
Total space launches in October: How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? Above 16Kalshi94% NoOpen
Total space launches in October: How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? Above 17Kalshi94% NoOpen
Total space launches in October: How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? Above 19Kalshi97% NoOpen
Total space launches in October: How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? Above 15Kalshi87% NoOpen
Total space launches in October: How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? Above 13Kalshi74% NoOpen

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As of Oct 4, 12:30 AM UTC