KalshiResolved

Above 8.9%

No99%

Above 8.9%1%

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24h volume$449

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread—

ResolvesOct 9, 202615 days ago

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is above 8.9% at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Read from the venue 15 days ago

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As of Oct 24, 04:04 PM UTC