KalshiResolved

Will there be more than 100 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026? Above 100

No99%

Above 1001%

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

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ResolvesOct 13, 202612 days ago

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 100 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will there be more than 75 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026? Above 75	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will there be more than 35 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026? Above 35	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will there be more than 45 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026? Above 45	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will there be more than 40 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026? Above 40	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will there be more than 30 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026? Above 30	Kalshi	90% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will there be more than 50 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026? Above 50	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will there be more than 25 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026? Above 25	Kalshi	73% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will there be more than 20 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026? Above 20	Kalshi	84% Above 20	$0	—	—	Open
Will there be more than 15 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026? Above 15	Kalshi	97% Above 15	$0	—	—	Open
Will there be more than 10 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026? Above 10	Kalshi	99% Above 10	$0	—	—	Open
Will there be more than 22 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026? Above 22	Kalshi	73% Above 22	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 12 days ago

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As of Oct 25, 09:44 AM UTC