KalshiResolved

Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 8 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026? Above 8

No97%

Above 83%

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

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ResolvesOct 13, 202612 days ago

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 8 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 4 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026? Above 4	Kalshi	89% Above 4	$0	—	—	Open
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 6 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026? Above 6	Kalshi	80% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 14 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026? Above 14	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 12 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026? Above 12	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 10 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026? Above 10	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 5 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026? Above 5	Kalshi	69% Above 5	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 12 days ago

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As of Oct 25, 08:43 AM UTC