Washington wins by over 14.5 points

No99%
Washington wins by over 14.5 points1%

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24h volume$16.4K
7d volume—
30d volume—
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ResolvesOct 10, 202615 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 3Oct 5Oct 6Oct 8Oct 10

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Washington wins by more than 14.5 points in the Iowa vs Washington college football game originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket specifies NCAA.com as its source and has distinct postponed/canceled rules; Kalshi uses official final results with a 48-hour postponement condition and no stated source; Gemini lists an agency hierarchy and a market-review process for indeterminate outcomes. These are resolution-rule differences, not differences in the underlying question.
  • Iowa vs Washington: spread: Washington (-14.5)

    In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 9 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington" if Washington win the game by 15 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Iowa". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

  • Kalshithis market

    Washington wins by over 14.5 points

    If Washington wins by more than 14.5 points in the Iowa vs Washington college football game originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 10, 08:46 AM UTC

  • Iowa vs Washington: spread: Washington (-14.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Washington in the entire college football game between Iowa and Washington scheduled for 2026-10-09 at 8:00 p.m. CT is above 14.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Washington's score minus Iowa's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Spread_Class_941e2dcb-07e0-4ee4-9d21-bdd1a7612f13.pdf).

    read Oct 9, 07:05 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Washington wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Iowa wins by over 16.5 pointsKalshi99% Iowa wins by over 16.5 pointsOpen
Washington wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Iowa wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi99% Iowa wins by over 9.5 pointsOpen
Iowa wins by over 14.5 pointsKalshi99% Iowa wins by over 14.5 pointsOpen
Iowa wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi99% Iowa wins by over 2.5 pointsOpen
Iowa wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi99% Iowa wins by over 13.5 pointsOpen
Iowa wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi99% Iowa wins by over 10.5 pointsOpen
Iowa wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi99% Iowa wins by over 3.5 pointsOpen
Iowa wins by over 11.5 pointsKalshi99% Iowa wins by over 11.5 pointsOpen
Iowa wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi99% Iowa wins by over 6.5 pointsOpen
Washington wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Iowa wins by over 4.5 pointsKalshi99% Iowa wins by over 4.5 pointsOpen
Iowa wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi99% Iowa wins by over 1.5 pointsOpen
Iowa wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi99% Iowa wins by over 7.5 pointsOpen
Washington wins by over 16.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Washington wins by over 4.5 pointsKalshi94% NoOpen
Iowa wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi99% Iowa wins by over 5.5 pointsOpen
Washington wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Washington wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Washington wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Washington wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Washington wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Washington wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Washington wins by over 11.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen

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As of Oct 25, 12:16 PM UTC