Will the #1 global Netflix show have between 15 and 18 million views this week?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 6, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve according to the views figure of the show that this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show, according to Netflix. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. If the reported views figure falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will not consider hours viewed. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used to determine the final figure.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the #1 global Netflix show have between 6 and 9 million views this week? | Polymarket | 100% Yes | Open |
| Will the #1 global Netflix show have between 12 and 15 million views this week? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will the #1 global Netflix show have less than 6 million views this week? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 18 million views this week? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will the #1 global Netflix show have between 9 and 12 million views this week? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Oct 24, 09:42 PM UTC