Will Julius Walker win in Round 3?

No100%
Yes0%

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24h volume$48
7d volume$813
30d volume$813
Liquidity$0
Spread0%
ResolvesOct 11, 202614 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2Oct 4Oct 7Oct 9Oct 11

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Julius Walker defeats Gerald Meerschaert at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026, by KO, TKO, or submission that ends the fight in Round 3, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed. If the fight is won in a different round, is won by decision, ends in a draw, or is won by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.ufc.com/events

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket treats stoppages between rounds as ending in the completed round and resolves 50-50 if the bout is postponed beyond October 24, 2026; Kalshi's published criteria do not specify these edge cases. Resolution times differ slightly (Polymarket 03:59:59 UTC vs. Kalshi 03:20:00 UTC on October 11), but this reflects typical venue settlement timing and does not change the underlying question.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Julius Walker win in Round 3?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Julius Walker defeats Gerald Meerschaert at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026, by KO, TKO, or submission that ends the fight in Round 3, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed. If the fight is won in a different round, is won by decision, ends in a draw, or is won by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

  • Will Julius Walker win the Julius Walker vs. Gerald Meerschaert UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan fight in Round 3 Julius Walker to win in Round 3

    If Julius Walker wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 3 of the Julius Walker vs. Gerald Meerschaert UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan fight originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. For settlement purposes, a technical decision is considered a decision and will result in the “Decision / Draw / No Contest” outcome resolving to Yes, and will not count as a win in any round. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 10, 11:18 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
UFC Fight Night: Gerald Meerschaert vs. Julius Walker (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)Polymarket100% Julius WalkerOpen
O/U 1.5 RoundsPolymarket100% OverOpen
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Polymarket100% YesOpen
Will Julius Walker win by KO or TKO?Polymarket100% YesOpen
Fight to Go the Distance?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will the fight be won by submission?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Gerald Meerschaert win by KO or TKO?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will the fight end before Round 2?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Julius Walker win in Round 1?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Gerald Meerschaert win in Round 1?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Julius Walker win in Round 2?Polymarket100% YesOpen
O/U 0.5 RoundsPolymarket100% OverOpen
O/U 2.5 RoundsPolymarket100% UnderOpen
Will the fight be won by decision?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will the fight end before Round 3?Polymarket100% YesOpen
Will Gerald Meerschaert win in Round 2?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Gerald Meerschaert win in Round 3?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will the fight end in a decision or draw?Polymarket100% NoOpen

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As of Oct 25, 10:07 AM UTC