Will Ketlen Souza win in Round 1?

No100%
Yes0%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
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Liquidity$0
Spread95%
ResolvesOct 11, 202613 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2Oct 4Oct 7Oct 9Oct 11Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ketlen Souza defeats Loopy Godínez at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026, by KO, TKO, or submission that ends the fight in Round 1, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed. If the fight is won in a different round, is won by decision, ends in a draw, or is won by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.ufc.com/events

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Both use UFC as the outcome source, though Polymarket cites official UFC information and PolymarketUs gives no specific URL. They differ materially on cancellation/postponement handling and settlement timing, but not on the event, outcome, round, or named fighters.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Ketlen Souza win in Round 1?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ketlen Souza defeats Loopy Godínez at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026, by KO, TKO, or submission that ends the fight in Round 1, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed. If the fight is won in a different round, is won by decision, ends in a draw, or is won by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

  • Will Ketlen Souza win in Round 1?

    This market will settle to Yes if Ketlen Souza wins in Round 1 of the Loopy Godínez vs Ketlen Souza UFC fight scheduled for Oct 10, 2026. A technical decision, draw, or no contest does not count as a win in any round. A fighter winning in Round 1 means the fight officially ends during Round 1. If a fight is stopped between rounds, the victory will be deemed to have occurred in the round that just concluded. If the fight is cancelled or postponed by more than two days, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.

    read Oct 10, 08:08 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Souza vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)Polymarket100% Loopy GodínezOpen
Fight to Go the Distance?Polymarket100% YesOpen
O/U 2.5 RoundsPolymarket100% OverOpen
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will the fight be won by submission?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Ketlen Souza win by KO or TKO?Polymarket100% NoOpen
O/U 0.5 RoundsPolymarket100% OverOpen
Will the fight end before Round 2?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Ketlen Souza win in Round 3?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will the fight be won by decision?Polymarket100% YesOpen
Will the fight end before Round 3?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Loopy Godínez win by KO or TKO?Polymarket100% NoOpen
O/U 1.5 RoundsPolymarket100% OverOpen
Will Loopy Godínez win in Round 2?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will the fight end in a decision or draw?Polymarket100% YesOpen
Will Loopy Godínez win in Round 1?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Loopy Godínez win in Round 3?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Ketlen Souza win in Round 2?Polymarket100% NoOpen

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As of Oct 24, 03:07 PM UTC