PolymarketOpen

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?

No85%

Yes16%

Price checked at Oct 24, 11:15 PM UTC

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24h volume$500

7d volume$5.8K

30d volume$13.3K

Liquidity$51.3K

Spread1%

ResolvesDec 1, 2026next month

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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As of Oct 25, 12:11 AM UTC