PolymarketOpen

Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?

No95%

Yes5%

Price checked at Oct 25, 04:32 AM UTC

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24h volume$484

7d volume$3K

30d volume$9.3K

Liquidity$13.8K

Spread3%

ResolvesNov 1, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro is charged with a crime or arrested by Brazilian authorities, including by authorities of any state or other subdivision of Brazil, by October 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government involved in any action against Bolsonaro and information from Bolsonaro and/or his legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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As of Oct 25, 04:48 AM UTC